Context: The strikes hit crowded residential and commercial areas well beyond Hezbollah strongholds in south Beirut—places packed with displaced families. Lebanon’s health ministry says 182 people were killed and nearly 900 wounded, though Lebanon’s civil defense service reported 254 killed. Israel says the ceasefire with the US and Iran doesn’t cover Lebanon, but Iran insists it does. France and the EU are warning this could unravel the whole deal.

Context: The ceasefire was supposed to include reopening the strait, but Iran appears to be backtracking. Normal shipping hasn’t resumed, with Iran issuing new passage conditions and protocols. Reporters in Tehran are describing the situation as chaotic and confused, with the first signs that this deal might not hold.

Context: Pakistan emerged as the surprise mediator, using its ties to both Tehran and Washington. Trump had threatened to destroy Iranian “civilization” if they didn’t reopen the Strait of Hormuz by his deadline. Both sides are claiming victory, but the deal is already being tested by Israel’s strikes on Lebanon and confusion over whether Lebanon is even covered.

Context: The plan includes Iran maintaining control over the strait and potentially charging ships up to $2 million to pass through—money they’d use to rebuild bombed infrastructure. It also calls for US troops to leave the region. Trump’s surprisingly positive response caught people off guard given how many red lines it crosses.

Context: There’s a fundamental disagreement: Iran says Lebanon was always part of the ceasefire. Israel and the US say it wasn’t. Netanyahu made clear Israel will keep hitting Hezbollah targets regardless. Iran’s president now says the Lebanon strikes make the whole negotiation “meaningless.”

Context: Trump posted that the surge of US warships and troops deployed during the conflict will remain in the region “until such time as the real agreement reached is fully complied with.” The ceasefire is extremely conditional and the US military presence isn’t going anywhere.

Context: Markets aren’t buying the peace. The strait was supposed to reopen as part of the deal, but Iran is now saying ships need to follow new protocols and potentially pay fees. That’s keeping uncertainty high and oil prices elevated.

Context: Iran has assets frozen around the world that it will almost certainly demand back as part of any permanent agreement. The US previously used those frozen funds as leverage. Now Trump may need to release them to make a deal stick, though this hasn’t been confirmed as part of current negotiations.

Sources: Euronews

Context: This is a major sticking point. The US and its allies have long accused Iran of seeking nuclear weapons through its enrichment program. If Iran’s position is that enrichment is completely off the table for negotiations, it’s hard to see how a permanent deal happens.

Sources: Euronews